Wednesday, January 01, 2020

Letter To Shareholders (17) - Performance Review 2019Q4

Operating Updates
The biggest bombshell this quarter was the unexpected amendment to Citibank Maxigain, which took me by surprise. It was a huge blow to my safe passive income as it dropped from "0.8% of SIBOR + 1.2% Bonus" to "0.5% of SIBOR + 0.6% Bonus".

It is atrocious that they dare sent a letter saying all other "features" of Maxigain account remains unchanged. Yes, all the negatives you mean, like "not being able to withdraw". 


I should have seen this coming (though I did not expect such a big change so quickly after the last). I threw the chance to enter SSB when it was at near 2% for 1 year interest and can only regret now, haha... the rate has since plummet to 1.5+% for 1 year and 1.7+% for 10 years.

Nonetheless, closing this account (on 2nd Dec 2019) meant freeing up a huge stash of ammuntion that has nowhere to go. With DBS Multiplier max-ed out and CIMB Fastsaver giving only 1%+... it was a huge headache.

After much deliberation on available options:

1. SSB at 1.5+%, pro-rated interest and withdrawable anytime.
2. CIMB Fixed Deposit at 1.7% for 3 months.
3. Stashaway Simple at 1.9% (projected).

I finally settled on 2 remedial action.



Action 1 - Topping Up CPF
Yes, I finally did it. 

This is something I have been contemplating for the past few years but never had the courage to do. Even up till the point of pressing "transfer", I still have this "sinking" feeling that I am transferring $7000 that I would never see again in my life... Still, logic won over the heart in the end. A huge reason for this is I am single and do not have someone to leave a legacy for in the future. Otherwise, it would be a much easier choice (i.e if i have a kid I would definitely top up).

For the past few years, I had Maxigain which gave me near 2.5% interest, almost as good as CPF-OA. It was a huge 'deterrence' for not making top-ups. Now, a combination of factors made me pulled the trigger.

1. The yield between the "public" risk-free rate and CPF has widened much more.
2. There is a limit cap on those with better interest.
3. Stock market (especially REITs) at all-time high and compressed yields.
4. Accumulated decades of emergency funds and my passive income can now cover all basic expenses. This means much less chance I need to tap on the cash.
5. Basically met FRS, which means I can withdraw the money at age 55. 

6. Might as well earn some tax-relief.

Anyway, the topping-up experience was much smoother than I expected - near instanteous and the contribution appear on my statement immediately! Cool!

*Tip: Top up near the end of the month as CPF interest is calculated based on the lowest balance of the month. It means you get to earn interest elsewhere for that 20+ more days.





Action 2 - Hacking DBS Multipler Using Insurance
Coupling the "1st year 35% discount" promotion and "Insurance only recognized for the 1st year" clause makes advancing to the next tier a no brainer.

The way I see it, I am paying $7+ per month in order to get higher interest for an extra $50K.

Assuming a very conservative 1% higher interst, that is $500 more per year which is $40+ per month. Deducitng $7+, I am still gaining $33 more income per month. And that is "at the very least".


In good months where I can clock the highest tier, it can amount to about $100 more! Which means, 1 good month and I would have more than pay off the entire year of insurance cost.

Yum yum!

(Note: This was written before DBS Multiplier announced change from Feb 2020. We will have to see how to mitigate the impact)


Performance Review Highlights / Acquisitions & Developments
Many actions this month: Averaged down on EHT, brought F&N, Capitamall Trust and Accordia Golf Trust (gambling on its acquistion deal)

Overall, our portfolio recovered strongly (nearly $10K from capital gains alone) thanks largely to Singtel and various REITs. 

Total dividends for Q4 stand at $1100, slightly lower than last year's $1200.



Operating Highlights - Income
Salary and total income took a big hit due to the much reduced bonus (essentially 1 month lesser). I think many did not expect it to be this bad.

We earned some $500+ side income from multiple sales on Carousell (as part of my journey towards Minimalism), birthday gifts and long service award.


Operating Highlights - Expenses
1-time expenses were higher thanks to higher income tax and Samsung Galaxy Note 10 (purchased on the last day of the year!) to finally replace my S7 which I have used for 3 years!

Regular expenses are in-line, but is definitely inching towards the higher side now. I forsee this trend to continue as I continue to indulge in Starbucks, Tiger Sugar, Boost Juice and generally nicer food ($10 to $15 for lunch) more frequently. 


Outlook
More to come in the annual report.

Side note: Layers Senpai has a really good series summarizing 1 of the best investing book : Little Book of Value Investing

Friday, December 06, 2019

The Most Dramatic Day Of My Life

I just want to pen this down for now... maybe I'll fill in the blanks later when I'm in the mood.

Summary:

“很久很久以后我才知道,当一个女孩说她只把你当作永远的好朋友,不是真的只把你当作永远的好朋友。”

原来我们和爱情曾经靠得那么近

---

Afternote: Things went back to "normal" after that fateful day.

Truthfully speaking, even I am not very sure of my own feelings - perhaps because I am so inexperienced in this.

The only thing to do now is to let nature take its course?




Monday, December 02, 2019

Why Does It Hurt...

I think I am really 犯贱。。。

It is like I did not realize the importance of what things mean to me until I lost them.

Haiz...

I really deserve to be forever alone haha...

Side Note:

Don't know if it is due to age getting on me, but I feel quite emotional with regards to some ridiculous things.

For example, even closing a bank account I used for 3+ years made me kind of sentimental...

I think it is somewhat true that the older you get, the more resistant you become to change.

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Letter To Shareholders (16) - Performance Review 2019Q3

Economy Commentary
The insane Q2 rally was gone in an instant - led by continued trade war threats and Hong Kong protests.

Surprisingly, premium REITs continue to hold up.



Performance Review Highlights / Acquisitions & Developments
Fired one bullet on Eagle Hospitality Trust - while we understand the various risks, the near 10% yield is imply too tempting to ignore, especially when compared to current valuations of Singapore based REITs.

We also applied for Lendlease near the end of Q3 - hottest IPO in the past 5 years, 14.5 times oversubscribed , 30% chance and did not managed to get it. On the positive side, it means 1 extra bullet for the upcoming downturn.

The biggest surprise was Sembcorp Industries plunging yet another level to near $2. $2.4 was really historical low, and I really did not expect another 15% drop. Once again humbled by the market.

On a positive note, we distributed over $3000 (Singtel, STI and Kimly) worth of dividends this quarter! That's more than our annual dividends just 3 years ago in 2016, proving how far we have come.



Operating Highlights - Income
Income was about 15% YoY higher this time due to higher salary, proficiency incentive and of course dividends.

We also received a nice $200 marksmen bonus from MINDEF, and minor $100 profit from clearing old items on Carousell.


Operating Highlights - Expenses
Regular expenses were about 30% higher due to shopping expenses - multiple video & board game ($200), clothes & bag ($200), external hard drive ($150)

1-time expenses were essentially same YoY, just higher income-taxes.

Total expenses were about 20% higher.


Operating Updates
N/A. 


Outlook
Thanks to the record dividends, our saving total after salary this quarter is 99%! Continue to maintain total saving rate at around 80%. This year has been a rollercoater ride - bad Q1, insane Q2, bad Q3 again.

One big news coming up is the launch of IBKR Lite, should it become available in Singapore. From initial review:

"With IBKR Lite the commissions will be per IB's Fixed Pricing schedule, i.e. US$5 minimum per IWDA or VWRA trade. But that's way better than Standard Chartered's US$10.70 minimum, unless you happen to be a "Priority Banking" customer. There will be no monthly minimum commission with IBKR Lite, and you still get Tiered Pricing (and the ridiculously narrow bid-ask spreads) on your currency conversions."

IBKR is also setting up an office in Singapore, which hopefully means better support/promotion? 2020 could be the year we finally get started in the global market.


We will continue to maintain our strategy of investing for the long term - building our dividend portfolio bit and bit.

Monday, August 12, 2019

Waste of Resources

Chasing women, ie attracting them physically, mentally and pecuniarily is nowadays a unnecessary waste of a man's resources.

Having a wife at home, bringing up kids, paying for the home and vehicle; whilst slaving away at the grindwheel is crazy. Just ask yourself why you are putting yourself through all that for the next forty years?

Mostly it seems that you are doing it for parents, grandparents and because "it is what we do".